Subsea HVDC cable-lay vessel at dawn on a Southeast Asian sea
Market Insights

Regional Analysis

The ASEAN Power Grid Moment

What cross border electricity trade means for developers and offtakers, and why the teams being assembled now will decide who delivers.

SCG Partners8 min readAsia Pacific

For most of its life the ASEAN Power Grid was a diplomatic ambition. In 2026 it is a procurement process. Ten member states are implementing a regional energy plan built around interconnection, a Singaporean state company exists for the sole purpose of developing cross border links, and eleven import projects totalling 8.35 GW hold conditional approval from a single buyer. The 2026 disruption in global fuel markets has only sharpened the case, and interconnection is now argued on resilience grounds as firmly as on decarbonisation grounds. Electricity is being contracted across borders, and the commercial rules that follow are not the ones most developers are used to.

$27bn

Interconnection investment the ASEAN Power Grid pipeline requires to 2040

8.35GW

Low carbon import approvals held by Singapore, six now at conditional licence

7.7GW

Interconnection capacity operating today, across nine of eighteen priority projects

01

What Changed

From communiqué to contract

The regional grid has existed as a concept since the late 1990s. What changed over the last eighteen months is institutional rather than technical. At the 43rd ASEAN Ministers on Energy Meeting in October 2025, member states signed an enhanced memorandum of understanding on the grid, adopted terms of reference for the bodies that will govern it, and endorsed a framework for subsea power cable development, setting a path towards full regional interconnection by 2045. The regional energy plan now in force, APAEC 2026 to 2030, concentrates on the unglamorous work that actually enables trade: institutional frameworks, regulatory capacity and the alignment of technical requirements across ten different systems.

Capital followed the paperwork. In the same month the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank launched the ASEAN Power Grid Financing Initiative, which funds project preparation, feasibility work and regulatory analysis against an estimated USD 800 billion of generation and transmission investment needed by 2045. The IEA puts the interconnection pipeline alone at roughly USD 27 billion to 2040.

02

The Corridors

Where the power is actually moving

Singapore harbour skyline at dusk with container port cranes
Singapore anchors most of the trade being contracted today, and pulls in generation from across the region.

Cross border trade in ASEAN today is not one grid. It is a small number of corridors at very different stages of maturity, and each carries a different commercial logic.

The Lao PDR, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore Power Integration Project is the only multilateral arrangement currently delivering power. Launched in 2022, its second phase doubled traded volumes to a maximum of 200 MW and introduced multidirectional flow with additional supply from Malaysia. The volumes are small. The precedent is not. It showed that four regulators can agree scheduling, settlement and commercial terms across three borders, which is the harder half of the problem.

Everything else of scale runs towards Singapore. The city state is seeking around 6 GW of low carbon electricity imports by 2035, roughly a third of its projected demand, and has awarded conditional approval to eleven projects totalling 8.35 GW from Australia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Sarawak and Vietnam. Six Indonesian projects have advanced to conditional licences, the stage at which a proposal has been judged technically and commercially viable and sufficiently far developed. Singapore Energy Interconnections, a state company incorporated in 2025, exists to develop, own and operate the interconnectors themselves, and is working with Singa Renewables, the TotalEnergies and RGE joint venture, on a subsea link from Indonesia.

A third corridor is forming without Singapore in it. The Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines project envisages seventeen interconnections, and the Philippines has made grid integration a priority of its 2026 ASEAN chairmanship, opening interconnection discussions with Malaysia.

01

Lao PDR & Malaysia

Up to 200 MW, operating. The only multilateral corridor currently delivering power across three borders.

02

Indonesia

3.40 GW across six conditional licences. Solar paired with storage and subsea cable delivery.

03

Sarawak, Malaysia

1.00 GW conditional approval awarded in October 2025, firming hydropower for export.

04

Vietnam

1.20 GW conditional approval, backed by offshore wind delivery capability.

05

Cambodia

1.00 GW conditional approval, part of Singapore's diversified low carbon import mix.

06

Northern Territory, Australia

1.75 GW conditional approval, ultra long HVDC transmission expected after 2035.

03

The Commercial Shift

What changes for developers and offtakers

A cross border project is not a domestic project with a longer cable attached. Three things change, and each lands on a different part of the organisation.

The first is regulatory surface area. A project selling into Singapore needs consent from the exporting state, an award and then a licence from the importing regulator, and approvals from every jurisdiction its cable passes through. Each has its own timetable and the slowest one sets the schedule. Sun Cable's 1.75 GW Australian project, routed across roughly 4,300 km of subsea cable, carries a commercial operation date expected after 2035 for precisely this reason.

The second is the shape of the asset. What is being financed is rarely just generation. The Indonesian export projects pair very large solar volumes with battery storage and a subsea cable, because what Singapore is buying is firm delivered power rather than intermittent energy. That changes the engineering, the operating model and the counterparty structure, and it explains why the consortia forming around these projects almost always pair an international developer with a local one: TotalEnergies with RGE, Shell with Vena, Sembcorp with Sarawak Energy and with PetroVietnam.

The third is the cost of capital. The IEA notes that the cost of capital across much of Southeast Asia can run at around twice the level of advanced economies, which weakens risk adjusted returns on exactly the capital intensive assets the region needs. A cross border revenue chain, with generation in one jurisdiction and a creditworthy offtaker in another, can improve that picture, but only if the structure is legible to lenders. Making it legible is a commercial and legal exercise rather than an engineering one.

Corridor Snapshot

CorridorStatusWhat delivery demands
Lao PDR to SingaporeOperating, up to 200 MW, multidirectional since phase twoMulti party scheduling, settlement and regulatory coordination across three borders.
Indonesia to SingaporeSix projects at conditional licence, first output expected from late 2027Solar paired with storage, subsea cable delivery, local partnership and Indonesian permitting.
Sarawak to Singapore1 GW conditional approval awarded in October 2025State level negotiation, firming of hydropower output and a long subsea route.
Vietnam to Singapore1.2 GW conditional approvalOffshore wind delivery capability against a domestic framework still settling.
Australia to Singapore1.75 GW conditional approval, operation expected after 2035Ultra long high voltage direct current transmission and multi jurisdiction transit consent.
04

The Constraint

The capability the region does not yet have

Engineer inside a high-voltage HVDC converter station hall
HVDC converter halls, subsea cable installation and cross border regulation are all specialist crafts. The people who have delivered them into an ASEAN market are scarce.

Every one of these corridors depends on skills Southeast Asia has never had to supply at scale. Interconnection is a specialist discipline. It requires high voltage direct current and converter station engineering, subsea cable routing and marine installation management, system studies for connection into two grids running under different codes, cross border regulatory affairs, and project finance able to underwrite a revenue chain that crosses a border. None of these are ordinary renewable development skills, and the region has produced few of them, because until recently there was very little to work on.

Competition for the people who do exist is global. ManpowerGroup's 2026 engineering outlook reports that close to three quarters of employers worldwide struggle to find skilled engineering talent, and that nine in ten employers hiring engineers say the retirement of experienced staff is already shaping their workforce strategy. Subsea and offshore installation specialists are scarce everywhere, and the ASEAN pipeline is bidding for them against European and North American interconnector programmes that started earlier.

The practical consequence is that almost nobody has done this exact job, in this region, before. Recruiting for these roles cannot be a search for a matching CV, because at the volume required the matching CV does not exist. It has to be a judgement about which experience transfers. Whether a North Sea interconnector engineer will function inside an Indonesian permitting process. Whether a project finance director who has closed domestic deals can underwrite a two country structure no lender in the market has priced before.

01

Interconnection & HV engineering

Converter stations, system studies, and connection into two grids running under different codes.

02

Subsea & marine delivery

Route survey, cable procurement, installation and vessel scheduling across long marine corridors.

03

Cross border regulatory affairs

Two regulators, transit states, and rules still being written for first of a kind trade.

04

Structured project finance

Underwriting a revenue chain that crosses a sovereign border with a creditworthy offtaker at the other end.

Approvals do not build interconnectors. Teams do, and the pool of people who have delivered one into an ASEAN market is close to empty.

SCG Partners
05

Working with SCG

How SCG helps

This is scarce, first of a kind hiring, and it is where sector knowledge decides the outcome. SCG Partners recruit across the Asia Pacific energy transition, source well beyond the active market, and assess candidates on judgement and commercial understanding rather than keywords. For clients building a regional presence in order to pursue these corridors, we pair that search capability with practical advice on where to base the team and which roles to fill first.

The SCG Talent Intelligence Framework

Assessing talent where there is no precedent

The decisions an organisation makes about people are among the most important commercial decisions it will ever make, and in work that has not been done locally before, experience and qualifications tell only part of the story. The SCG Talent Intelligence Framework moves the question from whether a person can do the job to whether they will succeed in this role, in this market, over time. For an interconnection hire, four of the ten dimensions carry most of the weight: project complexity, international exposure, cultural fit and commercial understanding.

Capability

  • Technical capability
  • Commercial understanding
  • Leadership potential
  • Communication skills

Experience

  • Industry experience
  • International exposure
  • Project complexity
  • Career progression

Fit & Growth

  • Cultural fit
  • Long term growth contribution

The corridors are being contracted now. The teams built this year decide who delivers them.

SCG Partners

SCG Partners combine specialist recruitment, market entry advisory and deep sector knowledge across Asia Pacific's energy transition. Whether you are assembling the team behind a cross border project, or establishing the regional presence to pursue one, we would welcome the conversation.

Figures drawn from the IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2026; Singapore's Energy Market Authority and Ministry of Trade and Industry; ASEAN Centre for Energy materials and the 43rd ASEAN Ministers on Energy Meeting; World Bank and Asian Development Bank publications on the ASEAN Power Grid Financing Initiative; and ManpowerGroup's 2026 engineering workforce outlook. Project statuses were current as of mid 2026 and continue to evolve.

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If these insights raise questions about your recruitment, market entry or growth strategy, we'd welcome the conversation.

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